As we wrote in our previous article, after almost eight years, the US imperialists and the NATO criminals got what they wanted. They finally managed to drag Russia into a war with Ukraine.
We now have indisputable evidence for that, through a document by the top US think tank, RAND Corporation. In the preface of a 2019 report under the title Extending Russia, Competing from Advantageous Ground we read: [emphasis added]
The purpose of the project was to examine a range of possible means to extend Russia. By this, we mean nonviolent measures that could stress Russia’s military or economy or the regime’s political standing at home and abroad. The steps we posit would not have either defense or deterrence as their prime purpose, although they might contribute to both. Rather, these steps are conceived of as measures that would lead Russia to compete in domains or regions where the United States has a competitive advantage, causing Russia to overextend itself militarily or economically or causing the regime to lose domestic and/or international prestige and influence.
We could probably stop here, but the details inside this report specifically concerning Ukraine, are even more impressive: [emphasis added]
The Ukrainian military already is bleeding Russia in the Donbass region (and vice versa). Providing more U.S. military equipment and advice could lead Russia to increase its direct involvement in the conflict and the price it pays for it. Russia might respond by mounting a new offensive and seizing more Ukrainian territory. While this might increase Russia’s costs, it would also represent a setback for the United States, as well as for Ukraine. [...] Increasing military advice and arms supplies to Ukraine is the most feasible of these options with the largest impact, but any such initiative would have to be calibrated very carefully to avoid a widely expanded conflict.
The last lines are particularly revealing. Especially the phrase "calibrated very carefully" leaves little doubt about the fact that the US imperialists are only interested to use Ukraine in a dangerous geopolitical game against Russia. Yet, the surprises don't end here. Another part of the report describes the Russian position on the NATO expansion and actually acknowledges Russia's "assistance to the NATO-led campaign in Afghanistan" (!): [emphasis added]
The Kremlin hoped that its assistance to the NATO-led campaign in Afghanistan would encourage NATO to reciprocate and respect Russian interests. Russian leaders’ muted response to the expansion of NATO in 2004 to include the three former Soviet (and, earlier still, former Imperial Russian) Baltic nations of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania belied intense displeasure at this development, similar to their initial attitude toward the 2003 Rose Revolution in Georgia and the 2004 Orange Revolution in Ukraine, which installed anti-Moscow governments in those countries. Convinced that diplomatic measures had proved impotent to resist further NATO expansion and prevent so-called color revolutions, Russian leaders undertook a military intervention in Georgia in 2008 to signal their determination to prevent further expansion of the Alliance into former Soviet republics that are referred to as Russia’s near abroad.
The wider plans of the US imperialists are described briefly in a subsequent paragraph and demonstrate how ruthless can become in their effort to achieve their goals: [emphasis added]
This chapter describes six possible U.S. moves in the current geopolitical competition: providing lethal arms to Ukraine, resuming support to the Syrian rebels, promoting regime change in Belarus, exploiting Armenian and Azeri tensions, intensifying attention to Central Asia, and isolating Transnistria (a Russian-occupied enclave within Moldova). There are several other possible geopolitical moves discussed in other RAND research but not directly evaluated here—including intensifying NATO’s relationship with Sweden and Finland, pressuring Russia’s claims in the Arctic, and checking Russia’s attempts to expand its influence in Asia.
In another piece of the report we read: [emphasis added]
While NATO’s requirement for unanimity makes it unlikely that Ukraine could gain membership in the foreseeable future, Washington’s pushing this possibility could boost Ukrainian resolve while leading Russia to redouble its efforts to forestall such a development.
Indeed, as we wrote in our previous article, as all that time Russia was also occupied with the war in Syria, it would be almost impossible to open the Ukrainian front too. Yet, finally, the US imperialists pulled their best card to force Putin take military action against Ukraine. They put again on the table the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO through their puppet Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Russia's last red line was violated and Putin saw the invasion of Ukraine as the only option left.
In a subsequent paragraph, we read that the ruthless US imperialists were even acknowledging that their effort to provoke Russia's military intervention could "increase the loss of Ukrainian lives and territory": [emphasis added]
Eastern Ukraine is already a significant drain on Russian resources, exacerbated by the accompanying Western sanctions. Increasing U.S. military aid would certainly drive up the Russian costs, but doing so could also increase the loss of Ukrainian lives and territory or result in a disadvantageous peace settlement. This would generally be seen as a serious setback for U.S. policy.
At this point we should note that the US has rejected Zelenskyy's proposal for a no-fly zone for Russian flights over Ukraine, as the White House through its spokesperson, Jen Psaki, stated that such a development would require "deploying U.S. military to enforce, which would be ... potentially a direct conflict, and potentially a war with Russia, which is something we are not planning to be a part of."
All evidence shows that we were 100% correct when since already 2014 we wrote that:
What was left to do, for the moment, is to challenge Putin in order to drag Russia in an endless attrition war in East Ukraine and this explains to a degree Putin's hesitation to act like he did in Crimea. Against Russian army, of course, the West will not risk to put an organized military force, but only teams of mercenaries of private armies, as already did. It is certain, however, that, despite that the global economic oligarchy has lost valuable time because of its wrong moves, it will not give up its plans for Russia easily ...
It seems that the neo-nazis of the Azov Battalion are the central core of the pro-Western Ukrainian mercenaries fighting since 2014 against Russian separatists in the East Ukraine. From Wikipedia:
Azov Battalion (until September 2014), is a right-wing extremist and neo-Nazi unit of the National Guard of Ukraine, based in Mariupol, in the Azov Sea coastal region. It saw its first combat experience recapturing Mariupol from pro-Russian separatists forces in June 2014. Azov initially formed as a volunteer militia on 5 May 2014 during the Odessa clashes. On 12 November 2014, Azov was incorporated into the National Guard of Ukraine, and since then all members are contract soldiers serving in the National Guard of Ukraine.
Recall that there is evidence that the US imperialists were pre-planning to arm and train the neo-nazis in Ukraine, already since 2013, indicating that they had probably considered the possibility to drag Russia into a war with Ukraine at least a decade ago.
As we wrote in our previous article, it is almost certain that Putin understood that the US imperialists and their allies wanted to drag Russia into an endless attrition war, that's why he designed a full-scale operation, hoping to take the whole Ukraine under full control in a few days in order to impose his own terms. It seems that he had a Blitzkrieg in mind, in order to surprise the West, end the war very quickly with minimum casualties.
While the US imperialists have already secured some significant gains from the Russian invasion, they may lose the trust of the majority of the Ukrainian population. The Ukrainian leadership looks already frustrated by the fact that the US and the EU appear unwilling to get involved directly in the Ukrainian war-field against Russia.
In any case, the next days will show the balance of gains and losses for everyone in the geopolitical field. We estimate that if the Russians fail to achieve a decisive victory within a month, they may stick into a bloody attrition war, just as the US imperialists wanted. And then, Putin may consider to do the unthinkable as his very last option.
God help us ...
God help us ...