by T.J. Coles
Part 2 - VOTE-SPLITTING
Judging by a surge in voter-registration, more young people voted this year than in 2017, but fewer seem to have voted Labour, at least according to preliminary polls. The London School of Economics notes that “youth support for progressive parties increased overall.”
Turnout among all ages was lower than in 2017; lower turnout hits Labour harder than Tories. The Brexit Party vote-splitting did not ultimately help Labour, as it had in previous by-elections (i.e., Peterborough and Brecon). The con-man Nigel Farage, having radicalized the Tory party into a hard-Brexit cult, put a lot of his own Brexit Party voters off by standing candidates down in Tory-majority constituencies, even pulling out of rallies.
Brexit Party voters switched to Tory. Labour voters who couldn’t bear voting Tory voted for the Brexit Party, though in lower numbers than Tory voters. Still, job done, Nigel.
The so-called tactical voting, in which about 26 percent of voters engaged, did a lot of damage to Labour. Pro-Liberal Democrat “tactical voting” websites, including Best for Britain (to which this author wrote to complain), advised the public to vote LibDem in marginal Labour seats. In Kensington, for instance, Labour lost by 100 or so votes because the LibDem candidate Sam Gyimah stood in that seat. In 2017, the LibDems got about 7.4 percent of the vote-share nationwide. In 2019, they got 11.5. Their increased vote-share took votes from Labour. Yet, a European-style proportional representational voting system would have put a rainbow coalition led by Labour into power, giving the Tories just 288 seats.
Turnout among all ages was lower than in 2017; lower turnout hits Labour harder than Tories. The Brexit Party vote-splitting did not ultimately help Labour, as it had in previous by-elections (i.e., Peterborough and Brecon). The con-man Nigel Farage, having radicalized the Tory party into a hard-Brexit cult, put a lot of his own Brexit Party voters off by standing candidates down in Tory-majority constituencies, even pulling out of rallies.
Brexit Party voters switched to Tory. Labour voters who couldn’t bear voting Tory voted for the Brexit Party, though in lower numbers than Tory voters. Still, job done, Nigel.
The so-called tactical voting, in which about 26 percent of voters engaged, did a lot of damage to Labour. Pro-Liberal Democrat “tactical voting” websites, including Best for Britain (to which this author wrote to complain), advised the public to vote LibDem in marginal Labour seats. In Kensington, for instance, Labour lost by 100 or so votes because the LibDem candidate Sam Gyimah stood in that seat. In 2017, the LibDems got about 7.4 percent of the vote-share nationwide. In 2019, they got 11.5. Their increased vote-share took votes from Labour. Yet, a European-style proportional representational voting system would have put a rainbow coalition led by Labour into power, giving the Tories just 288 seats.
Source, links:
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