It’s the US imperialism that has been defeated in Syria, but it’s now gathering forces to go after Iran
And all
of a sudden, the US president Donald Trump decided to withdraw the US
troops from Syria, declaring victory over ISIS.
No one,
of course, understood why the ISIS was suddenly defeated now. So this
must be a typical excuse by the American leadership to withdraw
forces from a battlefield that it is no longer 'profitable' and
affordable.
Comparing
with other, relatively recent cases, in which even the liberal
establishment was calling Trump to bomb Syria, the reactions from the
US political status were rather moderate. We would expect the media
pundits and the corporate puppets of the US political scene to fire
back against Trump with much more anger. It didn't happen.
We will
have to wait of course because the unpredictable Donnie may change
his mind in the blink of an eye. And then, we will have to make a
completely different discussion. Yet, if it's true, and the US troops
will, indeed, leave Syria, it would be one of these very rare cases
that the US imperialism have failed completely to fulfill its goals.
Many
analyses already appeared, trying to interpret Trump's sudden
decision. Yet, the situation in the Middle East right now is so
complex and even chaotic, the various alliances so fragile, that it
is very difficult to even guess what's really happening behind the
scenes. You can read 100 different articles that support 100
different scenarios. So, it wouldn't harm to add another one.
First of
all, it is rather improbable that the US will completely abandon the
region and its interests there. Besides, it has already many troops
and bases in the broader Middle East. Therefore, it is rather
improbable that the US will abandon Kurds, as it has heavily invested
on them for decades. This means that the US would not let them fall
in the hands of some other major player in the region.
The US
has failed to accomplish its core mission, which is, in short, the
restriction of the Russian and the Iranian influence in the Middle
East. Those regional proxy wars in Syria and Libya, that have been
set up by the Obama administration, have been proven quite
ineffective. They managed to increase the Russian and the Iranian
military presence and influence instead, while they unleashed
unprecedented chaos through CIA semi-controlled jihadist groups. A
chaos that has been partially expanded even inside Western soil
through various terrorist attacks.
Under
these circumstances, withdrawing troops from the chaos, is rather a
smart tactical move.
Beyond
that, all indications show that Donald Trump is re-organizing forces
to go after the major US target in the Middle East: Iran.
He
ruined the deal concerning the Iranian nuclear program, despite the
intense displease of the international community and his European
allies. He has already appointed the most hawkish, warmongering,
pro-Israel neocons in key positions. He continuously pushes for more
sanctions against Iran.
So, the
move to withdraw troops from Syria, where the game is lost anyway, is
giving him at least three significant advantages:
First,
he saves military strength and manpower and buys some time until the
2020 US presidential election to organize better the mother of all
military campaigns against Iran in case of a second term in the US
presidency.
Second,
he leaves the others, and especially the Russians to deal with the
chaos in Syria. In this way, he keeps them occupied with the Syrian
chaos, while he prepares to open the war front in Iran. It will be
very difficult for the Russians to participate in the Syrian and the
Iranian front simultaneously.
Third,
he may re-boost his popularity among his supporters in the interior,
as he essentially exhibits his 'anti-interventionism' to them. This
will give him a much better chance to win the 2020 US election and go
for a second term. Then, he will have all the time to focus on Iran.
Trump
already moved the US embassy to Jerusalem. With a promise for a
direct confrontation with Iran, it is certain that he will also have
all the financial support he needs from the Israeli
lobby to get re-elected.
The big
problem is that he has to find a way to sell another absolutely
devastating war to the Americans. And, unfortunately, it will
probably take a shockingly loud false flag operation.
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