There’s an
83% chance that automation will take a job with an hourly wage below
$20, a 31% chance automation will take a job with an hourly wage
between $20 and $40, and just a 4% chance automation will take a job
with an hourly wage above $40.
The White
House used the same data that underlines other research in the field
of labor and robots to arrive at the conclusion.
The key
question is what happens when a robot takes one of these low-wage
jobs.
Traditionally,
innovation leads to higher income, more consumption and more jobs,
but the question is whether the current pace of automation may in the
shorter term increase inequality.
One study
found that higher levels of robot density within an industry lead to
higher wages in that industry, the White House notes. However, that
could be because the absence of lower-skills biases wage estimates
upwards.
The White
House says the findings demonstrate the need for training and
education to help displaced workers find new jobs.
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