Skip to main content

First predictions for the snap elections in Greece

Greek elections

globinfo freexchange

First predictions for the snap elections in Greece have started already. According to the German newspaper Bild, SYRIZA appears with heavy losses with a percentage of 28%. Close to SYRIZA is the right-Wing New Democracy with 25% (little less than 3% lower than in previous elections) and the new Popular Unity party that came from the split of SYRIZA, appears to gather 8% of the votes.

All first polls show significant losses for Alexis Tsipras and SYRIZA. In the last few days, many members of the party have resigned and Tsipras has to deal also with the internal crisis in his party after the split according to the plan B of the Brussels bureaufascists.

Most of the early predictions give Lafazanis' Popular Unity a percentage of 7-8%, while SYRIZA's partners in the coalition government, Independent Greeks, struggle to reach the crucial 3% to enter the new parliament.

In any case, the split of SYRIZA creates an even more complex political landscape in Greece, which may lead to increasing political instability as the differences between the various political formations appear more difficult than ever to be covered.

This is something that the Brussels-Berlin axis officials may exploit and proceed in the plan C, according to which, unelected puppets like Papademos and Monti will take the power to implement all the measures of the Greek experiment. Their man, Governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, is waiting ...

Below, you can check some first predictions by our blog. At this point of course, we don't need to say that we may fall very far from the final results. Anyway, you may freely write your own predictions in the comments if you like.

SYRIZA 26-27%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 22-23%
Νew Democracy 14-15%
Golden Dawn 9-10%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 4-4.5%
River 4-4.5%
PASOK + Movement of Democratic Socialists 3.5-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (29/8):

SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 12-15%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 4-4.5%
River 4-4,5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (04/9):

SYRIZA 23-25%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 12-15%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5-4%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (11/9): [After the first debate]

SYRIZA 25-28%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 11-13%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5-4%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

Update (15/9): [After the second debate]

SYRIZA 28-30%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
Νew Democracy 11-13%
Golden Dawn 6-8%
Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
Union of Centrists 2.5-3%
River 2.5-3.5%
PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%
______________________________________________________________________________

OTHER POLLS (updated frequently) :

Update:  Another secret poll:

SYRIZA 34.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6%
Νew Democracy 23.1%
Golden Dawn 5.9%
Greek Communist Party 4.7%
River 4.8%
PASOK 2.8%
Independent Greeks 3.1%  [Source: http://olympia.gr/]

Update: A new poll by the INTERVIEW company for Vergina TV gives:

SYRIZA 24%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4.5%
Νew Democracy 22%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 3.5% [Source: http://www.newsbomb.gr/]

Update: A new poll by the ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:

SYRIZA 23%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.5%
Νew Democracy 19.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 5%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
undecided / didn't answer 25.5% [Source: http://www.efsyn.gr/]
 
Update: Poll by the Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:

SYRIZA 22.2%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.1%
Νew Democracy 21.2%
Golden Dawn 6.4%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 4.5%
PASOK 4.1%
Independent Greeks 1.7%
Unidentified vote 11.2% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by the University of Macedonia for skai TV gives:

SYRIZA 25%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 5%
Νew Democracy 22%
Golden Dawn 5.5%
Greek Communist Party 6%
Union of Centrists 4.5%
River 6%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 5%
undecided / didn't answer 14.5% [Source: http://www.skai.gr/]

Update: Poll by the MARC company for Alpha TV gives:

SYRIZA 25.3%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 3.8%
Νew Democracy 23.2%
Golden Dawn 5.5%
Greek Communist Party 4.2%
Union of Centrists 3.8%
River 5.8%
PASOK 4.4%
Independent Greeks 3%
Unidentified vote 18.8% [Source: http://www.sportdog.gr/]

Update: Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:

SYRIZA 26.8%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 6.1%
Νew Democracy 18.3%
Golden Dawn 5.9%
Greek Communist Party 5.8%
Union of Centrists 2.6%
River 6.2%
PASOK 2.9%
Independent Greeks 2.4%
Other 3.2%
undecided / didn't answer 19.8%
[Source: http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]

Update: Poll by the MRB for the newspaper Agora gives:

SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew Democracy 22.8%
Golden Dawn 6.2%
Greek Communist Party 4.7%
Union of Centrists 4.7%
River 5.6%
PASOK 3.9%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4.1%
Unidentified vote 16.9% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by the Pulse RC  for the newspaper To Pontiki gives:

SYRIZA 25.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.5%
Νew Democracy 25%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 5%
PASOK 5.5%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2%
undecided / didn't answer 10.5% [Source: http://news247.gr/

Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the newspaper Parapolitika gives:

SYRIZA 23.4%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3.4%
Νew Democracy 24%
Golden Dawn 5.1%
Greek Communist Party 5.2%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 4.8%
PASOK 4%
Independent Greeks 2%
Unidentified vote 11.3% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: New Poll by the think tank Bridging Europe gives:

SYRIZA 26.9%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 6.2%
Νew Democracy 19.8%
Golden Dawn 6.1%
Greek Communist Party 5.6%
Union of Centrists 2.4%
River 5.9%
PASOK 3.1%
Independent Greeks 2%
Other 4.6%
undecided / didn't answer 17.4% [Source:http://www.bridgingeurope.net/]

Update: Poll by MRB for Star Channel gives:

SYRIZA 25.1%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3.6%
Νew Democracy 25.1%
Golden Dawn 6%
Greek Communist Party 5%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.6%
PASOK 5.2%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
Other 4%
Unidentified vote 15% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by newsit.gr + Alco gives:

SYRIZA 24.8%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 4.2%
Νew Democracy 24.4%
Golden Dawn 6.6%
Greek Communist Party 5.9%
Union of Centrists 3.9%
River 4.7%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2.2%
Other 3.8%
undecided 15% [Source: http://www.newsit.gr/]

Update: Poll by Pulse for bankingnews.gr gives:

SYRIZA 27%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 4%
Νew Democracy 26.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 5.5%
Union of Centrists 4%
River 5.5%
PASOK-DIMAR 6%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
ANTARSYA 1%
Other 1.5%
undecided / didn't answer 10% [Source: http://bankingnews.gr/]

Update: Poll by ProRata for the Newspaper of the Editors (efsyn) gives:

SYRIZA 28.5%
Popular Unity + Plan B + ANTARSYA etc. 2.5%
Νew Democracy 23.5%
Golden Dawn 6.5%
Greek Communist Party 4.5%
Union of Centrists 3.5%
River 4%
PASOK 4.5%
Independent Greeks 2.5%
Other 2.5%
undecided / didn't answer 17.5% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Update: Poll by Metron Analysis for the TV channel ANT1 gives:

SYRIZA 24.6%
Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 3%
Νew Democracy 24.6%
Golden Dawn 5.6%
Greek Communist Party 4.8%
Union of Centrists 3%
River 4.6%
PASOK + DIMAR 4.2%
Independent Greeks 2.3%
undecided / didn't answer 9.1% [Source: http://tvxs.gr/]

Comments

  1. that seems overly optimistic on Popular Unity et al. I'd expect SYRIZA to poll in the mid-30s, Golden Dawn closer to 5%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think it is too early for predictions. after their first speeches and how people will receive them we will know how things will go.

      Delete
  2. Anonymous25/8/15 18:15

    What does SYRIZA stand for? After holding a vote that returned "OXI" on austerity, they ignored it. My bet would be SYRIZA is at best low teens. Possibly single digits if Yanis V. embraces one of the anti-austerity parties.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I hope and keep my fingers crossed that Yanis will not join Lafazanis and or Zoe Konstadopoulou who we really don't know what she is going to do.
      Varoufakis should stay out of this mess he will lose his popularity If he does join anyone against Tsipras.

      Delete
    2. SY/RI/ZA Synaspismos Rizospastikis Aristeras

      Delete
    3. Anonymous26/8/15 18:00

      Given that Yanis is describing SYRIZA's action as "surrender". We have to believe he will align with one of the anti-austeiryt/anti-SYRIZA parties. I guess he could "bow out" and not engage with any party, but that seems at odds with his personality.

      http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2015/08/20/the-greek-plan-for-growth-recovery-two-documents-the-ministry-of-finance-tabled-in-may-and-june-2015/

      Delete
  3. First poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.

    ReplyDelete
  4. First poll is bad. The second and third polls make more sense. Im not sure Popular Unity will get that much traction, especially considering the last two polls contradict the first.

    ReplyDelete
  5. SYRIZA was voted in in January with 36% ie mid thirties. I can't seem them getting anywhere near that now. Since their raison d'etre now seems to be administering MOU horror with 'clean hands' mid 20s seems more realistic. Depending on their manifesto - soon to be published - and how they handle the coming weeks, and considering the pool of angry NO voters plus realistic voters, LAE could do quite well.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous26/8/15 13:48

    http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous26/8/15 13:50

      Judge goes on racist Greek rant.

      http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Judge-Delaware-County-Courthouse-Racist-Rant-Child-Support-322353432.html

      Delete
  7. Anonymous27/8/15 08:22

    golden dawn over 20%...
    keep it real ...

    ReplyDelete
  8. Update (04/9):

    SYRIZA 23-25%

    Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%

    Νew Democracy 12-15%

    Golden Dawn 6-8%

    Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%

    Union of Centrists 3.5-4%

    River 2.5-3.5%

    PASOK 3-4%

    Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

    ReplyDelete

  9. Update (15/9): [After the second debate]

    SYRIZA 28-30%
    Popular Unity + Plan B etc. 20-23%
    Νew Democracy 11-13%
    Golden Dawn 6-8%
    Greek Communist Party 5-5.5%
    Union of Centrists 2.5-3%
    River 2.5-3.5%
    PASOK + DIMAR 3-4%
    Independent Greeks 2.5-3.5%

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for sharing voting procedure with us, which is very beneficial information as user point of view about snap of elections and please keep sharing your info with us.

    Indelible Ink Suppliers | Voting Booths

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

It's definite: Elizabeth Warren is the female Obama, can't be trusted

globinfo freexchange

One year from the 2020 US presidential election, things start to become clearer day by day. In the US political scene, we can now recognize the authentic progressives from the fakes, and certainly, from the establishment neoliberal centrists. 
In the presidential-candidates level we can now identify only Bernie Sanders and Tulsi Gabbard as the ones who are willing to fight the establishment and try to implement progressive, anti-imperialist policies. After her latest position, concerning the military coup in Bolivia against the democratically elected Evo Morales, Elizabeth Warren could be considered a pseudo-progressive, equal to a female Barack Obama. Therefore, progressives definitely can't trust her.
Warren tweeted:
The Bolivian people deserve free and fair elections, as soon as possible. Bolivia's interim leadership must limit itself to preparing for an early, legitimate election. Bolivia's security forces must protect demonstrators, not commit …

It's now or never: the first step for a Sanders/Corbyn synchronization in power must be done on 12 December in UK

This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for the global working class
by system failure
Two years ago, we wondered whether a US government under Bernie Sanders, together with a UK government under Jeremy Corbyn, could mark a decisive victory against neoliberalism. Whether it could mark the beginning of the end of the Reagan/Thatcher awful legacy.

It seems that the time has come for the first step towards this prospect.

The oncoming UK general election on Thursday 12 December 2019, will be the most critical for decades, especially for the global working class. The outcome will determine to a significant degree, whether the capitalist West will change course away from the destructive neoliberalism, towards a form of Democratic Socialism. A new model that will resurrect the social state, while at the same time, will seriously deal with the great environmental challenges, defying big interests and rejecting the for-profit-wars model.



As we already pointed out, the whole Brexit issue is pri…

Latest WikiLeaks revelation and its treatment by the mainstream press explicitly demonstrate why the imperialists are determined to eliminate Julian Assange

globinfo freexchange
On November, 23, WikiLeaks published an e-mail, sent by a member of an OPCW fact-finding mission to Syria to his superiors, in which he expresses his gravest concern over intentional bias introduced to a redacted version of the report he co-authored.
The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons sent a team of experts to investigate allegations that a chemical attack took place in the Syrian city of Douma on the 7th of April 2018. The author of the e-mail was a member of that team and claims the redacted preliminary version of the report, misrepresents the facts he and his colleagues discovered on the ground. The e-mail is dated 22nd of June. It is addressed to Robert Fairweather, Chief of Cabinet, and forwarded to his deputy Aamir Shouket and members of the fact-finding mission to Douma.  


In short, the OPCW whistleblower actually claims that the report has been somehow altered. And it was done in a way to fit the scenario, according to which, the Assa…

Mainstream media pro-Johnson propaganda gets into full swing

by Craig Murray
We are now under election broadcasting rules.

Ian Austin left the Labour Party nine months ago. He was then appointed by the Tories as Prime Ministerial Trade Envoy to Israel. As of yesterday, he is neither a MP nor a candidate for election. He is a minor politician who achieved only the most junior ministerial rank, PUSS, and for only seven months. He is best known for heckling Jeremy Corbyn while Jeremy Corbyn was delivering the official Labour response to the Chilcot Report on the illegal invasion of Iraq, shouting “Sit down and shut up” and “You stupid disgrace” at Corbyn for criticising the war.
We are now under election broadcasting rules. How and why was Ian Austin invited onto the BBC Radio 4 Today programme today? He left the Labour Party six months ago, and has been a huge critic of Corbyn. It is hardly a surprise that the Tory’s Trade Envoy to Israel advises people to vote Tory. So who initiated Ian Austin’s appearance on the BBC Today programme, and why? It…

LIVE: Bolivians resist military coup in La Paz

Fears for an assassination attempt against Evo Morales

BREAKING
Independent journalist, Ben Norton, tweeted that he has been informed about a possible assassination attempt against the Bolivian president Evo Morales. According to Norton:
          Sources are telling me they are afraid that Bolivia's elected President Evo Morales might be killed tonight in the right-wing coup.

Sources are telling me they are afraid that Bolivia's elected President Evo Morales might be killed tonight in the right-wing coup.

This is a full-fronted imperialist attack on democracy. It is a blatant attempt to recolonize Latin America and overthrow all efforts at progress. — Ben Norton (@BenjaminNorton) November 10, 2019
Updates

EU giving cover to the military coup that just took place in Bolivia. Neither the EU nor the US support democracy. The people of Bolivia already expressed their “democratic will” by re-electing Evo Morales. A right wing US-backed coup stole that from them, this is disgusting https://t.co/qamCSvYmz9— Rania Khalek (@RaniaKhalek)…

Οργανισμός Αμερικανικών Κρατών: Στην υπηρεσία της Ουάσινγκτον

του Ανδρέα Κοσιάρη
Ο Οργανισμός Αμερικανικών Κρατών, που εξέδωσε την έκθεση για την εκλογική αναμέτρηση στη Βολιβία, η οποία «δικαιολόγησε» το πραξικόπημα εναντίον του Έβο Μοράλες, είναι στη θεωρία ένας ουδέτερος οργανισμός κρατών. Στην πραγματικότητα όμως έχει μακρά ιστορία υποστήριξης των επεμβάσεων των ΗΠΑ στη Λατινική Αμερική, και σήμερα χρηματοδοτείται κατά πλειοψηφία από τα ταμεία του αμερικανικού κράτους. 
Παρά την ίδρυσή του το 1948 με σκοπό την «προώθηση της ειρήνης και τη διευθέτηση διαφωνιών μεταξύ των κρατών-μελών», ήταν μάλλον από την αρχή όργανο της αντικομμουνιστικής εξωτερικής πολιτικής των ΗΠΑ.

Ο ΟΑΚ υπήρξε σιωπηλός ή και στήριξε όλες ανεξαιρέτως τις αμερικανικές επεμβάσεις στη Λατινική Αμερική, είτε αυτές λάμβαναν τη μορφή εισβολής, όπως στην Κούβα το 1961, είτε τη μορφή στήριξης σε πραξικοπήματα και δικτατορικά καθεστώτα, όπως στη Χιλή το 1973 (και στην Αργεντινή, τη Βολιβία, τη Γουατεμάλα, τη Νικαράγουα, την Αϊτή, τον Παναμά, τη Βραζιλία, την Παραγουάη και τον Ισημ…

Nos oponemos al golpe

Declaración de Noam Chomsky y Vijay Prashad
En Bolivia se está gestando un golpe de Estado contra el gobierno electo liderado por Evo Morales. Sectores de la policía han dicho abiertamente que están dispuestos a permitir que grupos de milicias fascistas ataquen el palacio presidencial en La Paz. La situación es muy grave.

Evo Morales ha invitado a los cuatro principales partidos a sentarse y conversar sobre el camino a seguir para la democracia boliviana. Ha pedido el establecimiento de un diálogo para evitar el regreso de los días de las dictaduras militares y los gobiernos oligárquicos. Morales ha hecho un llamado a las Naciones Unidas, a la Organización de los Estados Americanos (OEA), al Vaticano y a otros más para que contribuyan a encontrar el camino para alejarse del golpe.

El golpe es promovido por la oligarquía boliviana que está enojada por la cuarta elección que sus partidos pierden frente el Movimiento al Socialismo. La oligarquía cuenta con el total apoyo del gobierno de los…

Here's why Bernie could end up being better than even FDR

globinfo freexchange

In his speeches, Bernie Sanders frequently refers to the 32nd president of the United States, Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR), and his New Deal program that helped millions of Americans after the 1929 Wall Street crash. Sanders and other progressives are proposing a similar program adjusted to the modern environmental challenges. The Green New Deal has now become a popular vision, especially among young Americans. Around it, the progressives are aiming to build a whole new model beyond destructive neoliberalism and even obsolete capitalism.

Many would argue that this is quite an extremely optimistic view. That Sanders is just an old-school moderate Social-Democrat who will only manage to revive some typical social policies of the past, and that's it. He will never manage to seriously challenge the current power structure, which, indeed, has grown enormously, controlling nearly every aspect of the political and economic life.

Yet Sanders already managed to achieve …

Bolivian UN ambassador: “racist elite” engineered coup to restore neoliberalism in Bolivia

Democracy Now!
Thousands marched across Bolivia Monday to demand the resignation of Jeanine Áñez, the right-wing senator who declared herself president of Bolivia last week after longtime socialist President Evo Morales resigned under pressure from the military. 
The coup d’état has thrown Bolivia into crisis, with violence across the country leaving at least 23 dead. On Friday, the military gunned down nine pro-Morales protesters outside Cochabamba, where indigenous people took to the streets again on Monday. Thousands more marched to the presidential palace in La Paz. 
The wave of protests are condemning the spike in anti-indigenous violence under interim President Áñez and demanding the return of Evo Morales. Áñez has a history of using racist, anti-indigenous language, and last week she issued a decree protecting the military from prosecution for violent acts and said that Morales would face prosecution if he returned to Bolivia. 
Morales is Bolivia’s first indigenous president, a…